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Wednesday, March 15, 2006

What do you expect a Republican to say about our country’s oil dependence? Since learning of the Set America Free Coalition, I’ve been less surprised to hear Republicans criticize our country’s oil habits. Still, it was refreshing to spend an hour this past Monday listening to a Republican Senator enumerate the flaws in our nation’s current energy policy.

The Brookings Institution invited Indiana Senator Richard Lugar to give the kickoff address for its Leadership Forum series (held in celebration of the institution’s 90th anniversary), and he gave a talk entitled “Energy Security: Cause for Cooperation or Competition?” to a packed auditorium. He made a good case for why we need to rethink our national energy policy; I found the solutions he specified less compelling, although one was an interesting point I’d never considered before.

I’ll get my disagreements with Lugar out of the way first. He said he has supported oil exploration in ANWR, and he’s a big proponent of “clean” coal. I wonder whether allegiance to these Republican talking points is the price he has to pay to be able to make these kinds of speeches without alienating himself from the party and its sponsors completely. He must know that any oil we’d get out of ANWR would be a drop in the proverbial bucket, and if he’s studied the issue, he’s probably realized it’d be better to spend the money on new wind farms rather than new coal-fired plants.

Much of Lugar’s assessment of the problem will be familiar to you denizens of the progressive blogosphere: Oil supplies are vulnerable to disruption, and they’re diminishing; countries that control energy supplies have leverage over those that don’t; climate change is a problem (that was #5 for him); and high energy costs are undercutting our anti-terrorism efforts.

The last point was a good argument, and something I haven’t heard often enough in the public energy debate. Lugar pointed out that if poor countries have to keep spending more on energy, we’ll see “negative consequences for stability, development, disease eradication, and terrorism.”

As for the solutions, you won’t be surprised to hear that the Senator from Indiana is a big proponent of ethanol. Lugar wants to see more cars equipped to run on E85, a blend of 85% ethanol and 15% gasoline. He supports cellulosic ethanol—ethanol made from harder-to-process plant matter such as cereal straw and sugarcane bagasse—for the longer term, but sees corn ethanol as a solution available immediately.

From the environmental perspective, corn ethanol isn’t great—it still takes a lot of energy to make it, and much of that energy will probably come from coal-fired plants. That’s fine if your goal is reducing petroleum dependence, but not so good if you’re trying to cut back on greenhouse-gas emissions.

Lugar mentioned improved efficiency briefly at the beginning of the solutions section of his talk, and he said he’s working to close the SUV loophole and provide consumers and automakers for incentives to increase the number of hybrids on the road. He also called for a cap-and-trade mechanism that would “give credit for carbon sequestration in coal-fired plants and allow farmers and foresters to sell credits for the carbon they sequester.” (I’m not sure how carbon gets sequestered in coal-fired plants, and I hope he’s not talking about one of those wacky schemes to inject CO2 deep into the Earth.)

One proposal surprised me: Lugar supports a $35 per barrel price floor for oil. As he explains it, companies are wary of investing too much money in less-petroleum-intensive alternatives as long as there’s a possibility that oil prices will fall again and make these alternative less attractive to consumers. People may love hybrids now, but will they still want a Prius if oil goes back down to $25 per barrel? Since oil is unlikely to fall below $35 anyway, we might as well set a floor price that’ll provide companies with the assurance they need to move forward with cleaner energy options. This idea makes sense to me, but I’d never thought about it before.

At the end of his talk, Lugar brought the focus back to international issues. China and India, he noted, require growing amounts of energy, and we should draw them into the international system so they can be assured of supplies and we can all reduce potential conflicts. This week, Lugar plans to introduce a bill calling upon the federal government to expand international cooperation on energy issues.

If I were in charge, we’d be focusing on solar and wind energy rather than ethanol and “clean” coal. Since I’m not in charge, it’s nice to hear a member of the party in power sounding the alarm about petroleum dependence and advocating for a new approach to the way we think of energy security for our country and the world.

Comments

19 comments

[1]
Very interesting post. I think one of the most unsettling notions about our current energy situation is that researchers are disincentivized (is that a word?) to innovate. It's always boggled me that we're working with basically the same technology as we have for the past century. It's hard for me to accept that say, the internal combustion engine is the pinnacle of what the human mind is capable of accomplishing as a solution to the question of personal transport. As long as auto manufacturers, oil companies, power plants, etc. are realizing big profits, why would they invest the time and money necessary to research ideas that might make their technologies more efficient and potentially less profitable?

Posted by 54cermak at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 08:09:59

[2]
Nice reporting, DCvote!

I agree with your assessment on ethanol. It's nothing more than a temporary stop-gap but what a windfall for Indiana farmers and Archer Daniels Midland.

Not only is the embodied energy for growing the corn and producing the ethanol very high, corn production itself strips the soil of essential nutrients.

In a press release from BMW yesterday, hybrid gasoline and hydrogen-burning 7 Series sedans will be available for sale in two years.

To 54cermak's point on technology, from the press release:

**************************************
While BMW is developing fuel-cell driven cars as well, it says it is concentrating on the combustion engine because the sum total of its features and characteristics offers the largest number of advantages and benefits all in one.
***************************************

Very interesting...

Posted by em dash at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 10:19:14

[3]
54cermak, I think the best incentive for innovation is demonstrated demand. If the government would commit to, say, putting solar panels on top of all government buildings, companies would invest in large-scale photovoltaic production, and the price of PV would come down quickly.

Governments can also provide incentives for new renewables development. Wind has been something of a success story in the US due to government subsidies, and other countries have made huge strides in wind and solar.

If my lunch break were longer, I'd supply more links. For now, these have some good info on potential US investments in renewables:

http://www.solarcatalyst.com/
http://www.apolloalliance.org/

Posted by DCvote at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 11:00:43

[4]
Thanks for the links!

With the movement on the eastern plains of Colorado to create wind farms, biodiesel, and experimental renewable energy development, the Apollo Alliance would be a great addition to my listening commission panel.

Boy, the stuff one can learn from the unbossed among us!

Posted by em dash at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 14:26:15

[5]
DC, an excellent point and one I think you're starting to see on a smaller scale as some local gov'ts look at converting their fleets to hybrid vehicles. A small step, but the thinking is definitely on track.

I'm not an engineer, so I can't vouch for BMWs statement.

Posted by 54cermak at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 14:30:25

[6]
Yeah, there's a lot of good work going on in the West. The Western Governors associated has set clean-energy goals, and they're considering a plan to install enough solar capacity to power a million homes by 2015.

Hybrid vehicles are a good step, too -- and I'm sure all of the governments that have adopted them are now happy about all the money they're saving on fuel.

Posted by DCvote at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 15:17:52

[7]
While on the subject of renewables, I've got a tangent question... has anyone seen a good comparison between E85 and biodiesel? They seem to have the same benefits of obviously being renewable and clean burning. Big downside is that they both produce C02. Politicians overall seem to speak of the 2 almost interchangably, though any single politician will usually pick one or the other.

This is my limited understanding so far:

Ethanol is created by distilling vegetable matter and seems to be highly regarded in the Midwest. I've heard from many sources that it requires a lot of energy to produce, though. I believe it requires some engine modifications to be usuable, but the engines can still use pure gasoline. Currently, the commercial fuel used is E85 as mentioned above, so 15% is still non-renewable gasoline.

Biodiesel, which I believe is just chemically thinned vegetable oil, seems to be praised more in other parts of the country (including CO). I don't know if it is easier to produce than ethanol... It can be used in any diesel engine and I believe it is completely interchangable with petroleum based diesel.

So far to me, it seems like biodiesel has some slight advantages in that it is completely renewable and can be thrown into any diesel already on the road. Can someone point me to more info??

Posted by Loki at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 15:52:13

[8]
Hey! Wait a darn minute! Where did my dog Loki learn to type? And how'd he get so smart? ;)

This seems like a pretty good resource from NREL on alternative fuels >> http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy...

I'll also ask an ex-engineer/eco-warrior friend of mine who is a wealth of knowledge on transportation and energy issues to pop on here later and add his 2-cents.

Posted by em dash at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 16:11:39

[9]
God of Mischief. What a great name for a dog!

Thanks for the info, Em! Looks like I've got my homework assignment for the night... :)

Posted by Loki at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 18:01:15

[10]
A lot of biodiesel users actually get their oil used -- from fast food restaurants, for instance -- so there's no extra energy required to produce it. To do biodiesel on a large scale, though, it'd probably need to be produced specifically for use in cars.

Also, I agree that Loki is a great name for a dog.

Posted by DCvote at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 20:07:50

[11]
I would consider it a personal political, environmental and gastronmic victory to pull into my favorite local progressive restaurant and ask them to "fill 'er up".

Posted by em dash at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 20:21:30

[12]
Completely off topic, but I'm just happy to hear that Loki is still kicking around. I loved that dog!

Posted by 54cermak at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 20:47:48

[13]
Sadly, I don't have him anymore. I gave him to a no-kill shelter that ran a dog foster program in Gates Mills. <sniff>

He was a good boy but a dog with post-traumatic stress disorder and a cross-country move just didn't add up. I figured one of us would be standing on the side of the road in Indiana crying while the other drove away. I'd put money on him being in the car not me.

I miss him a lot.

Posted by em dash at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 20:55:06

[14]
Well, I damn well wish you were in charge, DCVote cause ethanol is a bad deal. Think of the environmental consequneces of the massive monoculture it would take to fuel even a quarter of our nation's needs. I shudder.

Posted by environmentalist at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 21:53:49

[15]
Any thoughts on GM's "Live Green, Go Yellow" campaign to promote E85?

- Is this simply a new branding scheme?

- Targeting ads to a younger demographic to build market share?

- A behind-the-scenes cross-marketing promotion with ethanol manufacturers?

- A desperate PR blitz by a US automaker to stem losses to alt fuel models?

- Something else entirely?

Posted by em dash at Wednesday, March 15, 2006 22:24:57

[16]
Yeah, growing massive amounts of corn for fuel creates its own problems. Here's something from the Earth Policy Institute:

"The competition between cars and people for resources does not stop [with competition for land]. Some key food-producing countries, including the United States, are producing ethanol from grain for automotive fuel. In 2004, the United States used some 30 million tons of its 278-million-ton corn harvest to manufacture ethanol for cars. This tonnage, requiring nearly 4 million hectares (10 million acres) to produce, would be enough to feed 100 million people at average world consumption levels. Other countries building grain-fed ethanol plants include Canada and China. The competition between affluent motorists and low-income food consumers is thus not only for the land used to produce food, but also for the food itself."

http://www.earth-policy.org...

As for GM's campaign, I think it's mostly a PR move -- oil and auto companies know that their reputations are suffering as global warming's toll worsens, so they're fighting back by claiming to be green.

It's a bad slogan, too -- makes me think they're promoting jaundice or something.

Posted by DCvote at Thursday, March 16, 2006 03:30:16

[17]
That's a great article, DCVote.

As an add-on to your "used oil" comment on biodiesel, quite a few people are now doing SVO (standard vegetable oil) conversions to their diesels. Since biodiesel has chemicals added simply to thin the oil, heating the oil has the same effect:

http://www.greasel.com

Posted by Loki at Thursday, March 16, 2006 09:56:50

[18]
So I read through Em's link above. It's a good basic explanation of what the fuels are, but doesn't really go into details that could answer the question "Which is better: Ethanol or biodiesel?" Of course, the question may not make any more sense than "Which is better: gasoline or diesel?" if they use similar resources to produce.

It did fuel one change to my comments above, though. It appears the only needed modification to a gasoline engine so it can run E85 is the use of stainless steel in the fuel system instead of aluminum. E85 corrodes aluminum.

This leads to my opinion that GM's promotion of E85 is purely political. For a tiny cost of changing materials in a few parts, and no research dollars, they can claim that they are "green".

Posted by Loki at Thursday, March 16, 2006 16:19:50

[19]
Good catch, Loki! I'll bet that is a big reason for GM's pro-ethanol marketing.

Posted by em dash at Thursday, March 16, 2006 17:26:31

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