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Thursday, September 13, 2007

Today some Bush administration mouthpieces floated so far free of logic, reason, and fact that they must now count as extraterrestrial objects.

For example, this idiocy:

White House spokeswoman Dana Perino said a status report going to Congress on Friday would not show "dramatic differences" from a similar one in July. That review found satisfactory progress on just eight benchmarks.

"It has only been 58 days since the last assessment," she said.

How does that square with Petraeus' testimony to Congress that "progress" has been especially significant during the last few months ("the overall number of security incidents in Iraq has declined in 8 of the past 12 weeks, with the numbers of incidents in the last two weeks at the lowest levels seen since June 2006.")? Indeed, when pressed by Senator Biden to explain why his own rosy scenario differed radically from other recent pessimistic reports, such as the GAO report on Iraq, Petraeus replied that the other reports did not incorporate the remarkable results of the last five weeks.

The appeal to the last 5 weeks made no sense, of course, even on its own terms. We've been told over and over again that the occupation of Iraq is a very long term project and "progress" has to be measured in small increments over years. Along comes Petraeus claiming that "progress" revolves around events of just five weeks' time.

In any case, Perino's statement today shows the contempt that the White House holds for any who took Petraeus' words seriously.

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Then there was all the nonsense about the circumstances and meaning of the murder of sheik Abdul-Sattar Abu Risha.

The White House said Abu Risha's death was an "unfortunate and outrageous act" and that it believed al-Qaida was responsible.

The White House had no actual details, but General Petraeus wasn't waiting around for pesky facts.

General David Petraeus, the US commander in Iraq, issued a statement calling the sheikh's death a tragedy. "It's a terrible loss for Anbar province and all of Iraq. It shows how significant his importance was and it shows al-Qaida in Iraq remains a very dangerous and barbaric enemy. He was an organising force that did help organise alliances and did help keep the various tribes together."

The CSMonitor adds:

Petraeus first met Abu Risha during an encounter outside a US military headquarters building in Ramadi in March.

"I have enormous respect for what you and your tribe have started," Petraeus told the sheikh during the meeting, captured by a videographer.

This is the General whose judgment we are supposed to accept as the first and last word of wisdom on Iraq?

To begin with, nobody has produced any clear evidence to show which group killed Abu Risha. Even the WH, not known for its subtlety, hasn't gone as far as Petraeus—who immediately rushed to the conclusion that al Qaeda was responsible.

Makes you wonder how Petraeus attained the reputation, at least among the DC elite, for being level-headed and brilliant?

As the Monitor points out, Abu Risha had tense relations with other powerful sheiks even within the (mainly tribal) "Anbar Awakening" group. He was also loathed by many other Sunni groups in Anbar Province, including a rival tribal coalition and especially the anti-occupation insurgents, particularly after he appeared with George Bush ten days ago.

Among Abu Risha's chief rivals in Anbar was Ali Hatem al-Suleiman, another leader in the Duleimi tribe.

"Clans that cooperated with the British nearly a century ago still live in shame," al-Suleiman told the AP by telephone Wednesday, referring to Britain's period of colonial rule in Iraq. "Only a mercenary would meet with Bush, who had no business coming to Anbar anyway."

And then there were all those who detested Abu Risha because he was a crook and a thug, a leader of highway robbers, who had among other things stolen millions of dollars donated by the US.

Sheikh Sattar, whose tribe is notorious for highway banditry, is also building a personal militia, loyal not to the Iraqi government but only to him. Other tribes — even those who want no truck with terrorists — complain they are being forced to kowtow to him. Those who refuse risk being branded as friends of al-Qaeda and tossed in jail, or worse. In Baghdad, government delight at the Anbar Front's impact on al-Qaeda is tempered by concern that the Marines have unwittingly turned Sheikh Sattar into a warlord who will turn the province into his personal fiefdom.

It takes a particular kind of fool to rush immediately to the conclusion, in the absence of evidence, that al Qaeda was behind Abu Risha's murder. But then Petraeus and the administration cannot bring themselves to admit, even now, that they were playing a dangerous game showering money, power, and influence on a petty crook.

Comments

3 comments

[1]
There are several things going on here.

First and foremost is the Adminstration and Petraeus's willingness to blur the line between insurgents and Al Qaeda.

"Al Qaeda in Iraq" doesn't even have an official tie to Bin Laden's Al Qaeda.

But you wouldn't know that listening to the media. They brand any IED, any attack as being carried out by "Al Qaeda".

It's useful as propaganda as evidenced by Petraeus's willingness to blame the death of Sheik Risha on "Al Qaeda".

The fact is that 95% of the insurgency in Iraq is made up of Iraqis and 5% are foreign jihadis. Of the foreign fighters, 40% come from Saudi Arabia, Bush's strong Ally.

Iraq is complicated. Shi'a are fighting Shi'a, Sunni are fighting Sunni, Shi'a are fighting Sunni and vice versa, and Kurds are caught between Turkey, Iraq, and Iran.

But it's much easier and politically convenient to blame all the killing on "Al Qaeda".

It fits the talking point that "Iraq is the central front of the war on terrror".

Posted by PoliShifter at Thursday, September 13, 2007 20:34:39

[2]
Yep, that's their game. In fact, in Bush's speech this evening, he portrayed the occupation as a war against al Qaeda and, very much in second place, Iran.

I really liked this bit:

>>>Whatever political party you belong to, whatever your position on Iraq, we should be able to agree that America has a vital interest in preventing chaos and providing hope in the Middle East. We should be able to agree that we must defeat Al Qaeda, counter Iran, help the Afghan government, work for peace in the Holy Land, and strengthen our military so we can prevail in the struggle against terrorists and extremists.<<<

That raises the awkward question: Why couldn't we all have gotten together in early 2003 and agree that invading Iraq achieved none of those things?

Sort of suggests that a man who has gotten such basic things so badly wrong in the past cannot be trusted now to talk sense. Bush certainly appeared to be floating free of logic, reason, and fact on the boob-tube tonight.

Posted by smintheus at Thursday, September 13, 2007 20:48:50

[3]
I haven't seen anything addressing what seems to be a basic issue in the timing of the Petraeus report: it's co-incidence with 9-11. Given the administration's record for stagecraft - as opposed to the more valuable statecraft - this timing must have been in the works when they agreed to the timetable. They must be very disappointed that the surge of memory on that day didn't allow them to get away with mush.

Posted by shirah at Friday, September 14, 2007 06:35:22

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